Conservative Papa

Ivan hit the Florida panhandle in September 2004. The name, Ivan, is a Russian Name. Gustav is a German name, though I thought it was Russian, too. Hurricanes with Russian names and hurricanes with German names that sound Russian like the Pensacola area. Everyone says Gustav will go to Louisiana, but that’s all political hype.

Hanna could go to the Carolinas or it could cross Florida or the Florida straits to enter the Gulf of Mexico and end up in Pensacola. Hanna is a female storm and changing her mind is a woman’s prerogative. Also, the name, Hannah, is the same coming. These two elements make this storm totally unpredictable.

The storms are all lined up and ready to come see us. The yellow area probably won’t do much, but the red area should become Ike. I like Ike. I would really like Ike to go somewhere else, but hurricanes with names that begin with “I” and come in the middle of September like to vacation in Pensacola.

So there you have it. If the lady can make up her mind, the Florida panhandle just might have three hurricanes in as many weeks. If you don’t like that outlook, check out these links to see what the supposed experts know:

• The accuweather.com Expert Analysis videos are helpful. Instead of a pretty lady in front of a satellite picture, you get a guy in front of his computer talking about and drawing lines on weather images. Informal, yet very informational. Here’s the video I watched this morning.
• The amateurs over at hurricanecity.com have a pretty extensive site. I usually click in the corner of the main image for the model tracks. Here’s their video.
• Oh, and check this guy out. He says the NWS knows more than the NHC about where Gustav will go.

Here are Andrew and Esther Joy walking with Mama. We took a family walk yesterday evening. Today I finally got the photo upload from my phone to this blog via Flickr to work properly. It helps to get the special Flickr email address typed in properly!