Conservative Papa

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

000
ABNT20 KNHC 301157
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
700 AM EST MON NOV 30 2009

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC…CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO…

TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/2009atlan.shtml

The National Hurricane Center is thrilled to have another hurricane to track as an interesting finish to a yawner of an Atlantic hurricane season. If Ida manages to push past the Yucatan Peninsula and make a showing in the Gulf of Mexico, that will be strange indeed!

The drive over Escambia Bay was especially pretty in the early morning hours last week. The moon was full and still shining while the sun rose behind me. The camera phone doesn’t capture it well, but if you squint and use your imagination, you can share the moment with me.

Monday morning as I started my daily commute, I noticed that my old friend had rolled over 190,000 miles.

Monday I waited in a jury selection pool. At 9:30, they told us to come back in an hour because the judge was still knocking out cases. At 11:40, they told us to eat lunch and be back at 12:45. How efficiently they waste so many people’s time! By 1:00, the judge came and apologized for the long wait, but they cleared 41 cases with guity or no contest pleas. They let me go by 2:45 without selecting me.

The Love Bugs are out again! They stick to our vehicles, but they are especially noticeable on this white car that I see every day in the parking lot at work. It makes me think that the car needs to shave.

Since we would be living in our minivan for the next couple weeks, we had to at least start out with it being clean. So, 2 days before the Big Day of Departure, Andrew and I gave it a bath.

Ivan hit the Florida panhandle in September 2004. The name, Ivan, is a Russian Name. Gustav is a German name, though I thought it was Russian, too. Hurricanes with Russian names and hurricanes with German names that sound Russian like the Pensacola area. Everyone says Gustav will go to Louisiana, but that’s all political hype.

Hanna could go to the Carolinas or it could cross Florida or the Florida straits to enter the Gulf of Mexico and end up in Pensacola. Hanna is a female storm and changing her mind is a woman’s prerogative. Also, the name, Hannah, is the same coming. These two elements make this storm totally unpredictable.

The storms are all lined up and ready to come see us. The yellow area probably won’t do much, but the red area should become Ike. I like Ike. I would really like Ike to go somewhere else, but hurricanes with names that begin with “I” and come in the middle of September like to vacation in Pensacola.

So there you have it. If the lady can make up her mind, the Florida panhandle just might have three hurricanes in as many weeks. If you don’t like that outlook, check out these links to see what the supposed experts know:

• The accuweather.com Expert Analysis videos are helpful. Instead of a pretty lady in front of a satellite picture, you get a guy in front of his computer talking about and drawing lines on weather images. Informal, yet very informational. Here’s the video I watched this morning.
• The amateurs over at hurricanecity.com have a pretty extensive site. I usually click in the corner of the main image for the model tracks. Here’s their video.
• Oh, and check this guy out. He says the NWS knows more than the NHC about where Gustav will go.

I say finally because, not only were we glad to be home, but we’ve been home for more than two months. My how time flies and what a cobweb this poor blog is!

Well, we made it back after almost 3,500 miles in the minivan and more than 50 hours all together inside it. From May 23 through June 10, we visited friends and family in Tennessee, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Texas — passing through or hoteling in Alabama, Kentucky, Arkansas, Louisiana, and Mississippi.

Everyone had a great time seeing old friends and meeting new relatives. We learned a lot about our very interesting extended family; and we learned about each other, too. For example, if randmcnally.com says travel time is 5 hours, that’s a full-day minivan thrill ride for our family!

Maybe I’ll blog all about the exciting and excruciating details of the trip later. There’s really too much for one post. In fact, my grand self-delusion, err plan, is to blog on each of the 19 days of our trip. To see if that happens, just follow the Ohio Road Trip 2008 tag. I’ll probably blog about other stuff in between posts about the trip to avoid tiring myself and my faithful blog followers.

From: “NHC Mail (Atlantic Public)”
Subject: Welcome to the NHC Advisory Mailing List - 2008
Date: Wed, 21 May 2008 8:30:00 AM EDT

Hello again, and welcome to the National Hurricane Center Automated Advisory Email Service. In preparation for the start of the 2008 Hurricane Season, we will be resuming our Automated Advisory Email Service. The East Pacific season began May 15th and the Atlantic season begins June 1st.